RICHMOND, CA - OCTOBER 28: SZA performs onstage at Vevo Halloween 2017 at Craneway Pavilion on October 28, 2017 in Richmond, California. (Photo by Steve Jennings/Getty Images for Vevo)
On occasion, Grammy wins seem to come out of nowhere. The victory of Macklemore's The Heist over Kendrick Lamar's Good Kid, M.A.A.D City for Best Rap Album, seemed to surprise just about everyone at Staples Center on Jan. 26, 2014 -- perhaps most notably, Macklemore himself. While Adele's 25 was widely beloved, many were shocked that 2017's Album of the Year gramophone didn't go to Beyoncé for her critically acclaimed visual album, Lemonade.
While Grammys do often go to the obvious choice, the most critically acclaimed and fan-favorite albums and artists of the year, there are times like these when fans at home are left downright shocked and royally confused.
Why? Because the Grammys aren't necessarily meant to reflect what the fans like. The Grammys are decidedly not the VMAs, which allows fans an open voting platform on MTV's website. The Grammys, rather, are determined by the roughly 13,000 voting members of the Recording Academy, all of whom have "creative or technical credits on at least six commercially released tracks."
But let's say the Grammys did take fans' input into account. Let's say the Grammys winners were decided on the songs that fans loved the most. Who would win? Let's find out.
Using data from Pandora, we looked at the most loved songs, artists, and albums that will be vying for a golden gramophone Sunday's ceremony. How do we define most loved? We looked at the number of times a listener gave a song a thumbs up, compared to the number of times that song spun, over the past year. Songs and artists with the strongest thumbs-to-spin ratio, we figure, are the strongest contenders. The good thing about this methodology is that it doesn't give preference to huge, established acts, and allows room for less mainstream acts to stage an upset. Who among us doesn't remember when Bon Iver upset Nicki Minaj for Best New Artist in 2012, or when Esperanza Spalding beat out Justin Bieber for the same prize in 2011?
In years past, this could be a good way to measure just how much Grammy voters and fans disagree. (Last year, for example, fans put Lemonade miles ahead in several categories, including Album of the Year.) But there's a very good chance that this year's awards winners might be a little more reflective of the wider consensus, because the the Grammys recently ditched paper ballots for online voting, encouraging more participation.
Read on for what a data-driven Grammys night would look like. The big take away? If fans had a say, it'd be a DAMN. good night.
">RICHMOND, CA - OCTOBER 28: SZA performs onstage at Vevo Halloween 2017 at Craneway Pavilion on October 28, 2017 in Richmond, California. (Photo by Steve Jennings/Getty Images for Vevo)
On occasion, Grammy wins seem to come out of nowhere. The victory of Macklemore's The Heist over Kendrick Lamar's Good Kid, M.A.A.D City for Best Rap Album, seemed to surprise just about everyone at Staples Center on Jan. 26, 2014 -- perhaps most notably, Macklemore himself. While Adele's 25 was widely beloved, many were shocked that 2017's Album of the Year gramophone didn't go to Beyoncé for her critically acclaimed visual album, Lemonade.
While Grammys do often go to the obvious choice, the most critically acclaimed and fan-favorite albums and artists of the year, there are times like these when fans at home are left downright shocked and royally confused.
Why? Because the Grammys aren't necessarily meant to reflect what the fans like. The Grammys are decidedly not the VMAs, which allows fans an open voting platform on MTV's website. The Grammys, rather, are determined by the roughly 13,000 voting members of the Recording Academy, all of whom have "creative or technical credits on at least six commercially released tracks."
But let's say the Grammys did take fans' input into account. Let's say the Grammys winners were decided on the songs that fans loved the most. Who would win? Let's find out.
Using data from Pandora, we looked at the most loved songs, artists, and albums that will be vying for a golden gramophone Sunday's ceremony. How do we define most loved? We looked at the number of times a listener gave a song a thumbs up, compared to the number of times that song spun, over the past year. Songs and artists with the strongest thumbs-to-spin ratio, we figure, are the strongest contenders. The good thing about this methodology is that it doesn't give preference to huge, established acts, and allows room for less mainstream acts to stage an upset. Who among us doesn't remember when Bon Iver upset Nicki Minaj for Best New Artist in 2012, or when Esperanza Spalding beat out Justin Bieber for the same prize in 2011?
In years past, this could be a good way to measure just how much Grammy voters and fans disagree. (Last year, for example, fans put Lemonade miles ahead in several categories, including Album of the Year.) But there's a very good chance that this year's awards winners might be a little more reflective of the wider consensus, because the the Grammys recently ditched paper ballots for online voting, encouraging more participation.
Read on for what a data-driven Grammys night would look like. The big take away? If fans had a say, it'd be a DAMN. good night.
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